Kagera Sugar vs Mtibwa Sugar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.7%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.9%
2-0
8%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.3%
30.1%
Draw
0-0
12.7%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.1%
30.1%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
-52%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kagera Sugar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2013 |
KAG
1 - 0
SIM
41%
30%
29%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2013 |
JKT
0 - 2
KAG
36%
27%
36%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2013 |
YOU
1 - 0
KAG
51%
25%
24%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
KAG
1 - 1
AFR
60%
25%
15%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2013 |
KAG
1 - 0
COA
39%
30%
31%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Mtibwa Sugar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
MTI
1 - 1
COA
47%
27%
26%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2013 |
JKT
0 - 1
MTI
38%
29%
33%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2013 |
MTI
0 - 0
TAN
54%
26%
20%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
SIM
0 - 1
MTI
53%
25%
22%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2013 |
MTI
0 - 0
RUV
50%
27%
23%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |