Kagera Sugar vs Mbeya City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.8%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.1%
29.4%
Draw
0-0
11.4%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.4%
35.8%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kagera Sugar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
NAM
1 - 1
KAG
43%
28%
29%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2021 |
KAG
0 - 1
YOU
33%
29%
38%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Jul. 2021 |
COA
3 - 1
KAG
31%
30%
39%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Jul. 2021 |
POL
0 - 1
KAG
43%
30%
27%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Jun. 2021 |
KAG
0 - 0
IFC
42%
27%
31%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Mbeya City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
MBE
2 - 2
MKF
38%
30%
32%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2021 |
MBE
1 - 0
TAN
44%
31%
25%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Jul. 2021 |
MBE
4 - 0
BUM
35%
31%
34%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Jul. 2021 |
MBE
1 - 0
GFC
37%
28%
35%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Jun. 2021 |
SIM
4 - 1
MBE
65%
21%
14%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | -1 |