Kagera Sugar vs AS Polisi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.6%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
15%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.1%
16.3%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kagera Sugar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
KAG
2 - 0
TAN
43%
29%
28%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2012 |
TOT
1 - 2
KAG
33%
26%
41%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
AFR
1 - 1
KAG
32%
28%
40%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2012 |
MTI
1 - 1
KAG
45%
27%
28%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2012 |
SIM
2 - 2
KAG
54%
25%
22%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
AS Polisi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2012 |
COA
1 - 0
POL
63%
22%
15%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2012 |
POL
1 - 1
SIM
28%
29%
43%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
RUV
2 - 1
POL
56%
24%
20%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2012 |
YOU
3 - 0
POL
68%
19%
13%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2012 |
POL
0 - 2
JKT
47%
26%
27%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -1 |