UEFA Intertoto Cup . Last 16
Global 3-3
KAA Gent vs St Patrick's analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.8%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
17.6%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
KAA Gent
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2002 |
GEN
3 - 5
MOL
71%
18%
11%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2002 |
SDL
0 - 1
GEN
53%
23%
24%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2002 |
GEN
3 - 0
CHA
72%
17%
11%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2002 |
LOM
2 - 4
GEN
38%
25%
38%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2002 |
GEN
1 - 1
GER
53%
22%
25%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
St Patrick's
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2002 |
STP
1 - 0
RIJ
50%
25%
25%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2002 |
RIJ
3 - 2
STP
51%
25%
24%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2002 |
LON
1 - 1
STP
28%
26%
46%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2002 |
DUN
0 - 1
STP
27%
26%
47%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2002 |
STP
2 - 0
BOH
52%
24%
24%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | +1 |