KAA Gent vs Metz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.2%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
13.7%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
KAA Gent
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2020 |
GEN
2 - 3
LYO
34%
24%
42%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2020 |
LEN
1 - 1
GEN
21%
23%
55%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2020 |
BRU
2 - 3
GEN
53%
23%
24%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
GEN
1 - 4
CHA
51%
24%
25%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
CER
1 - 0
GEN
14%
20%
66%
|
82 | 63 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2020 |
MET
2 - 0
CHA
30%
26%
44%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2020 |
MET
4 - 1
SER
80%
14%
6%
|
72 | 46 | 26 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
MET
2 - 1
NÎM
34%
25%
41%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
AMI
0 - 1
MET
41%
27%
31%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | +2 |
| 21 Feb. 2020 |
MET
0 - 2
LYO
13%
19%
68%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | -1 |