Juventus Next Gen vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.9%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.6%
7.5%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juventus Next Gen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2021 |
JS2
0 - 2
LEO
49%
25%
26%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2021 |
ABN
0 - 3
JS2
35%
29%
36%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
JS2
6 - 0
LIV
61%
22%
18%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2021 |
COM
3 - 0
JS2
44%
27%
29%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
JS2
3 - 2
GER
65%
20%
15%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2021 |
ASL
1 - 2
PRO
23%
26%
51%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
COM
1 - 0
ASL
70%
20%
10%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
ASL
0 - 0
LEO
18%
23%
58%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2021 |
GRO
2 - 1
ASL
58%
23%
19%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
ASL
1 - 4
NOV
35%
25%
40%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | -2 |