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Catarinense 1. Temporada Regular, Matchday 11

Juventus SC Concórdia
44 ELO 43
50% Tilt -43%
1559º General ELO ranking 1689º
129º Country ELO ranking 140º
ELO win probability
73.4%
Juventus SC
18.1%
Draw
8.5%
Concórdia

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.4%
Win probability
Juventus SC
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.1%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
15.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.4%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.1%
8.5%
Win probability
Concórdia
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Juventus SC
+14%
-18%
Concórdia

Points and table prediction

Juventus SC
Their league position
Concórdia
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
10
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Chapecoense
26
26
100%
Brusque
22
22
100%
Avaí
21
21
100%
Juventus SC
18
18
100%
Marcílio Dias
15
15
100%
EC Próspera
14
14
100%
Joinville
13
13
100%
Hercílio Luz
12
12
100%
Figueirense
11
11
100%
Concórdia
10º
10
10
10º
100%
Criciuma
11º
8
8
11º
100%
Metropolitano
12º
6
6
12º
100%
Expected probabilities
Juventus SC
Concórdia
Champion
0% 0%
Final season
100% 0%
Relegation playoffs
0% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Juventus SC
JUV
Concórdia
CAC
Marcílio Dias
MAR
Chapecoense
CHA
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Juventus SC
Juventus SC
1%
X%
2%
ELO JUV ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Apr. 2021
MET
Metropolitano
3 - 3
Juventus SC
JUV
37%
28%
36%
752 350 -402 0
10 Apr. 2021
JUV
Juventus SC
1 - 1
Marcílio Dias
MAR
56%
24%
20%
752 351 401 0
03 Apr. 2021
ECP
EC Próspera
0 - 0
Juventus SC
JUV
47%
27%
26%
752 799 47 0
31 Mar. 2021
JUV
Juventus SC
3 - 2
Joinville
JEC
56%
24%
20%
751 350 401 0
29 Mar. 2021
BRU
Brusque
4 - 0
Juventus SC
JUV
38%
28%
35%
753 418 -335 -1

Matches

Concórdia
Concórdia
1%
X%
2%
ELO CAC ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Apr. 2021
CAC
Concórdia
0 - 0
Criciuma
CRI
40%
28%
32%
710 970 -260 0
11 Apr. 2021
AVA
Avaí
0 - 0
Concórdia
CAC
57%
24%
19%
710 1111 401 0
05 Apr. 2021
HER
Hercílio Luz
0 - 0
Concórdia
CAC
47%
27%
26%
710 756 46 0
01 Apr. 2021
CAC
Concórdia
1 - 3
Metropolitano
MET
53%
24%
22%
711 350 361 -1
28 Mar. 2021
MAR
Marcílio Dias
3 - 2
Concórdia
CAC
38%
28%
34%
712 350 -362 -1