Juventus vs US Alessandria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
90%
Win probability
3.73
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.5%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.6%
8-0
1.2%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.5%
7-0
2.5%
8-1
0.8%
9-2
0.1%
+7
3.3%
6-0
4.6%
7-1
1.6%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
6.6%
5-0
7.4%
6-1
3.1%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
11.1%
4-0
10%
5-1
4.9%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
+4
16.1%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.2%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.2%
6.8%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
3%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
6.8%
3%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
0.8%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
2.3%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 1946 |
ATL
1 - 3
JUV
34%
25%
41%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 1946 |
NAP
1 - 1
JUV
33%
26%
42%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 1946 |
TOR
1 - 0
JUV
70%
16%
13%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 1946 |
JUV
3 - 1
ACM
77%
13%
10%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 1946 |
JUV
2 - 1
ROM
79%
13%
8%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
US Alessandria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 1946 |
USA
1 - 3
MOD
44%
24%
32%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1942 |
MOD
2 - 0
USA
59%
21%
21%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 1941 |
BOL
4 - 0
USA
81%
12%
7%
|
66 | 85 | 19 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 1940 |
BRE
3 - 1
USA
50%
24%
27%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 1938 |
LEO
4 - 3
USA
57%
21%
22%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | -1 |