Juventus vs Roma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.5%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
18.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 1942 |
GEN
1 - 4
JUV
55%
22%
23%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1942 |
JUV
4 - 2
FIO
67%
18%
15%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1942 |
JUV
1 - 0
PAD
68%
17%
15%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1942 |
BOL
2 - 0
JUV
64%
19%
17%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1942 |
JUV
1 - 1
NAP
73%
16%
11%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 1942 |
ROM
1 - 0
BOL
51%
23%
26%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1942 |
NAP
1 - 1
ROM
40%
26%
34%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1942 |
MOD
0 - 0
ROM
39%
25%
36%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 1942 |
ROM
4 - 0
LIV
67%
18%
15%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 1942 |
INT
0 - 2
ROM
67%
19%
14%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |