Juventus vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.4%
Win probability
2.98
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.1%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.7%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.8%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.8%
11.8%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
11.8%
6.7%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 1948 |
VIC
0 - 1
JUV
31%
24%
45%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1947 |
ROM
2 - 3
JUV
36%
25%
40%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1947 |
JUV
1 - 1
ASL
84%
10%
6%
|
87 | 65 | 22 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1947 |
ACM
5 - 0
JUV
53%
22%
26%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1947 |
JUV
6 - 1
LIV
79%
13%
8%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 1948 |
MOD
0 - 0
TRI
63%
20%
17%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1947 |
ACM
2 - 1
MOD
76%
15%
10%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1947 |
MOD
1 - 1
BOL
47%
25%
27%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1947 |
NAP
5 - 1
MOD
43%
26%
30%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 1947 |
SAL
1 - 0
MOD
37%
25%
38%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |