Juventus vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.8%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
28%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2006 |
JUV
2 - 1
BRE
61%
22%
17%
|
93 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2006 |
SAM
0 - 1
JUV
18%
24%
59%
|
93 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2006 |
JUV
3 - 1
LEC
77%
15%
8%
|
93 | 74 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2006 |
BRE
3 - 2
JUV
38%
26%
37%
|
94 | 89 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2006 |
MES
2 - 2
JUV
12%
22%
66%
|
94 | 77 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2006 |
ACM
4 - 1
BYM
49%
25%
26%
|
93 | 93 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2006 |
ACM
3 - 0
EMP
80%
14%
7%
|
93 | 75 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2006 |
PAL
0 - 2
ACM
21%
24%
55%
|
93 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2006 |
BYM
1 - 1
ACM
53%
24%
23%
|
93 | 93 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2006 |
ACM
1 - 0
CAG
77%
15%
8%
|
93 | 77 | 16 | 0 |