Juventus vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
41.6%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
JUV
1 - 0
ACM
56%
23%
21%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
EMP
1 - 3
JUV
19%
26%
55%
|
91 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2015 |
MON
1 - 1
JUV
42%
27%
31%
|
91 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
JUV
2 - 1
TOR
66%
21%
13%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2015 |
SAS
1 - 0
JUV
23%
27%
51%
|
91 | 81 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
MAC
1 - 4
LIV
79%
14%
7%
|
93 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
ASV
0 - 0
MAC
9%
18%
73%
|
93 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2015 |
SEV
1 - 3
MAC
33%
24%
43%
|
93 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
MAC
2 - 1
NOR
86%
10%
4%
|
93 | 78 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2015 |
MAC
5 - 1
CRY
84%
12%
5%
|
93 | 82 | 11 | 0 |