Juventus vs Bologna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.5%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
23.6%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 1940 |
LAZ
2 - 2
JUV
50%
24%
26%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1940 |
ACL
0 - 2
JUV
30%
25%
45%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1940 |
JUV
2 - 1
NAP
70%
18%
12%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1940 |
VNZ
1 - 1
JUV
40%
24%
36%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1940 |
BAR
2 - 1
JUV
32%
26%
42%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 1940 |
BOL
2 - 1
ROM
68%
19%
13%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1940 |
INT
1 - 0
BOL
66%
19%
15%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1940 |
BOL
2 - 0
ACL
77%
14%
9%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1940 |
NAP
1 - 1
BOL
38%
27%
35%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1940 |
BOL
2 - 0
VNZ
76%
14%
10%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |