Juventus vs Bayern München analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.4%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
22.4%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2004 |
JUV
2 - 1
MES
82%
13%
5%
|
91 | 75 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
UDI
0 - 1
JUV
26%
26%
48%
|
91 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2004 |
JUV
1 - 0
MTA
78%
15%
7%
|
91 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
JUV
1 - 1
PAL
82%
12%
5%
|
91 | 73 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2004 |
SAM
0 - 3
JUV
18%
24%
58%
|
91 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Bayern München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2004 |
BYM
0 - 1
S04
65%
20%
15%
|
91 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2004 |
BRE
1 - 2
BYM
43%
24%
32%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2004 |
BYM
4 - 0
AJA
55%
23%
23%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
BYM
3 - 1
SCF
73%
17%
10%
|
90 | 79 | 11 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2004 |
OSN
2 - 3
BYM
16%
25%
59%
|
90 | 60 | 30 | 0 |