Champions League . Final

Juventus vs Ajax analysis

Juventus Ajax
91 ELO 88
1.2% Tilt 14%
15º General ELO ranking 82º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
57.1%
Juventus
22.5%
Draw
20.4%
Ajax

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.1%
Win probability
Juventus
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
20.4%
Win probability
Ajax
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Juventus
-6%
-4%
Ajax

ELO progression

Juventus
Ajax
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Juventus
Juventus
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 May. 1996
BAR
SSC Bari
2 - 2
Juventus
JUV
19%
23%
58%
91 76 15 0
05 May. 1996
JUV
Juventus
1 - 0
Atalanta
ATL
76%
16%
8%
91 80 11 0
28 Apr. 1996
ROM
Roma
2 - 2
Juventus
JUV
37%
26%
38%
91 88 3 0
21 Apr. 1996
INT
Inter
1 - 2
Juventus
JUV
33%
26%
41%
91 87 4 0
17 Apr. 1996
NAN
Nantes
3 - 2
Juventus
JUV
33%
27%
40%
91 86 5 0

Matches

Ajax
Ajax
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 May. 1996
GRA
De Graafschap
0 - 0
Ajax
AJA
10%
19%
72%
88 61 27 0
28 Apr. 1996
AJA
Ajax
5 - 1
Willem II
WIL
82%
12%
6%
88 74 14 0
21 Apr. 1996
GRO
Groningen
3 - 4
Ajax
AJA
22%
24%
54%
88 74 14 0
17 Apr. 1996
PAN
Panathinaikos
0 - 3
Ajax
AJA
36%
26%
38%
88 82 6 0
13 Apr. 1996
AJA
Ajax
1 - 0
RKC Waalwijk
RKC
82%
12%
6%
88 74 14 0
X