EC Juventude vs Novo Hamburgo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.6%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.6%
11.8%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
EC Juventude
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
SLU
1 - 3
JUV
26%
27%
47%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2020 |
JUV
0 - 1
SCI
17%
26%
57%
|
59 | 84 | 25 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2020 |
JUV
3 - 1
ESP
70%
20%
10%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
NAU
2 - 1
JUV
55%
25%
20%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
JUV
2 - 1
NAU
41%
29%
30%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Novo Hamburgo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
NOV
0 - 1
YPI
28%
26%
46%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2020 |
PEL
0 - 0
NOV
39%
27%
35%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2020 |
NOV
1 - 0
CAX
42%
26%
32%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2019 |
SJO
2 - 2
NOV
21%
22%
57%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
NOV
0 - 1
SJO
65%
20%
16%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | -1 |