Torneo Federal A PlayOffs . Final
Global 2-2
Juventud Universitario vs Guaraní A. Franco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.7%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
18.2%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juventud Universitario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2014 |
CAI
1 - 1
JUU
31%
25%
43%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2014 |
JUU
2 - 1
CAI
54%
23%
23%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2014 |
SMA
1 - 1
JUU
41%
27%
32%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2014 |
JUU
1 - 0
SMA
47%
26%
27%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
JUU
1 - 0
CCS
55%
23%
22%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Guaraní A. Franco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2014 |
GAF
1 - 2
TFE
41%
26%
33%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2014 |
TFE
1 - 2
GAF
58%
24%
19%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
GAF
4 - 0
JUV
42%
24%
34%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +2 |
| 14 May. 2014 |
JUV
3 - 1
GAF
50%
24%
27%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
JAN
3 - 0
GAF
50%
27%
23%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | -1 |