Juvenes / Dogana vs La Fiorita analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.2%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.5%
21%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
59%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
9%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juvenes / Dogana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
COS
2 - 2
JUV
30%
25%
45%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
JUV
0 - 1
PEN
36%
28%
36%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | -2 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
SGI
0 - 4
JUV
20%
21%
60%
|
53 | 38 | 15 | +3 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
FIO
3 - 2
JUV
62%
21%
17%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
VIR
2 - 1
JUV
44%
25%
31%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
La Fiorita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
CAI
0 - 6
FIO
17%
22%
61%
|
63 | 47 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
FIO
5 - 0
COS
71%
18%
11%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
PEN
2 - 1
FIO
31%
25%
43%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | +2 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
FIO
3 - 2
JUV
62%
21%
17%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
FIO
2 - 0
TFI
54%
24%
23%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +1 |