Junior vs Santa Fe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.6%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
22.3%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Junior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
SFE
0 - 0
JUN
40%
28%
32%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2022 |
JUN
0 - 1
MIL
39%
26%
36%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2022 |
PER
4 - 3
JUN
32%
28%
41%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2022 |
MIL
2 - 0
JUN
46%
27%
27%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
JAG
0 - 2
JUN
22%
28%
50%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Santa Fe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
SFE
0 - 0
JUN
40%
28%
32%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2022 |
SFE
2 - 0
PER
49%
25%
26%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
MIL
1 - 1
SFE
52%
25%
24%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
SFE
2 - 1
ONC
53%
27%
20%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
SFE
1 - 0
CAL
51%
26%
23%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |