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Clausura Colombia. Matchday 14

Junior vs Jaguares FC analysis

Junior Jaguares FC
75 ELO 61
19% Tilt 8%
124º General ELO ranking 488º
Country ELO ranking 19º
ELO win probability
67.4%
Junior
18.3%
Draw
14.3%
Jaguares FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.4%
Win probability
Junior
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
14.3%
Win probability
Jaguares FC
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Junior
-7%
+37%
Jaguares FC

Basic stats

71
29
POS
17
7
SOT
3
3
COR
2
1
GF
1
2
GC
75
61
ELO
2.3
1
EXP
Key
POS
Ball possession
SOT
Total shots
COR
Corners
GF
Goals for
GC
Goals against
ELO
Team's ELO rating
EXP
Expected goals for the team

Points and table prediction

Junior
Their league position
Jaguares FC
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
14º
27
19º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
At. Nacional
42
42
100%
Millonarios
36
36
50%
Deportes Tolima
36
36
50%
Junior
33
33
50%
Deportivo Pereira
33
33
50%
Alianza Petrolera
31
31
50%
Deportivo Cali
31
31
50%
América de Cali
29
29
100%
Envigado
27
27
33%
Atlético Bucaramanga
10º
27
27
10º
33%
Jaguares FC
11º
27
27
11º
33%
Independiente Medellin
12º
26
26
12º
100%
Águilas Doradas
13º
25
25
13º
33%
Santa Fe
14º
25
25
14º
33%
La Equidad
15º
25
25
15º
33%
Deportes Quindío
16º
22
22
16º
100%
Once Caldas
17º
20
20
17º
100%
Patriotas Boyacá
18º
18
18
18º
100%
Deportivo Pasto
19º
16
16
19º
100%
Atlético Huila
20º
10
10
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Junior
Jaguares FC
Champion
0% 0%
Final season
100% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%

ELO progression

Junior
JUN
Jaguares FC
JAG
Envigado
ENV
Millonarios
MIL
Águilas Doradas
AGU
Santa Fe
SFE
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Junior
Junior
1%
X%
2%
ELO JUN ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Oct. 2021
BUC
Atlético Bucaramanga
1 - 1
Junior
JUN
37%
28%
35%
2164 1732 -432 -2
02 Oct. 2021
JUN
Junior
1 - 0
Patriotas Boyacá
PAT
61%
22%
17%
2160 1567 593 +5
25 Sep. 2021
AGU
Águilas Doradas
1 - 2
Junior
JUN
36%
27%
37%
2153 1608 -545 +6
23 Sep. 2021
JUN
Junior
3 - 0
Atlético Huila
HUI
63%
21%
16%
2146 1494 652 +7
19 Sep. 2021
JUN
Junior
1 - 3
At. Nacional
NAC
46%
27%
28%
2159 2347 -188 -13

Matches

Jaguares FC
Jaguares FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO JAG ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Oct. 2021
JAG
Jaguares FC
4 - 1
Deportivo Pasto
PAS
39%
28%
33%
1462 1732 -270 +18
04 Oct. 2021
ALI
Alianza Petrolera
1 - 1
Jaguares FC
JAG
51%
26%
23%
1461 1538 77 +1
26 Sep. 2021
JAG
Jaguares FC
4 - 3
Millonarios
MIL
33%
28%
39%
1449 2076 -627 +12
18 Sep. 2021
AME
América de Cali
2 - 3
Jaguares FC
JAG
57%
23%
19%
1436 1923 487 +13
11 Sep. 2021
JAG
Jaguares FC
0 - 1
Independiente Medellin
IND
36%
27%
37%
1442 1998 -556 -6