Junior vs Alianza FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.8%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.5%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.3%
14.9%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Junior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2021 |
EQU
1 - 0
JUN
30%
28%
43%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
JUN
2 - 1
AME
41%
28%
32%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2021 |
ONC
1 - 2
JUN
34%
28%
38%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
JUN
1 - 0
IND
38%
28%
34%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2021 |
IND
2 - 1
JUN
50%
25%
26%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2021 |
ALI
1 - 2
AGU
30%
27%
42%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
JAG
2 - 0
ALI
35%
27%
37%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2021 |
ALI
2 - 2
PER
37%
27%
36%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2021 |
QUI
2 - 0
ALI
29%
25%
47%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | -2 |
| 10 Dec. 2020 |
ALI
2 - 2
JAG
53%
24%
24%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |