Júbilo Iwata vs Fagiano Okayama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.8%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9.4%
3-0
13%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.9%
2-0
16.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.5%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.4%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
14.6%
5.6%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Júbilo Iwata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
JEF
1 - 3
JUB
26%
27%
48%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
MAT
0 - 4
JUB
16%
25%
59%
|
73 | 56 | 17 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
JUB
1 - 1
SAG
80%
14%
6%
|
73 | 54 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
ZWE
1 - 2
JUB
18%
26%
56%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2021 |
VER
0 - 1
JUB
17%
22%
60%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Fagiano Okayama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
FAG
0 - 1
TOC
44%
29%
27%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
FAG
0 - 0
EHI
54%
25%
21%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
GIR
0 - 0
FAG
38%
29%
33%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
FAG
1 - 0
OMI
46%
28%
26%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
MAC
1 - 1
FAG
48%
28%
23%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |