Cup . Quarter-finals
Global 1-1
JSM Béjaïa vs Paradou analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.9%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.6%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
52.9%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
JSM Béjaïa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
USM
1 - 1
BEJ
25%
27%
48%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2019 |
USB
1 - 0
BEJ
42%
29%
30%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2019 |
BEJ
3 - 2
AMA
55%
25%
20%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2019 |
KOU
1 - 2
BEJ
29%
27%
44%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
BEJ
1 - 0
USM
56%
26%
18%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Paradou
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
USM
1 - 2
PAR
59%
22%
18%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2019 |
PAR
1 - 0
CON
45%
27%
29%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2019 |
ORA
0 - 2
PAR
43%
28%
30%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2019 |
PAR
2 - 0
JSK
46%
28%
26%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
OLY
0 - 1
PAR
38%
28%
35%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |