JS Hercules vs RoPS Rovaniemi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.7%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.3%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.4%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
56.5%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.4%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
5º
12º
11º
39
1º
9º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
45 | 45 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
39 | 39 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 37 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 34 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 33 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 31 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 28 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 19 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
12 | 12 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
JS Hercules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2023 |
FCV
0 - 0
HER
37%
23%
41%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
HER
2 - 1
TP4
44%
22%
34%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
AKA
1 - 0
HER
36%
21%
43%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
HER
2 - 1
OTP
56%
20%
24%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2023 |
OLS
3 - 0
HER
39%
23%
37%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
RoPS Rovaniemi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2023 |
ROP
1 - 2
NAR
74%
17%
10%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
GBK
5 - 1
ROP
13%
20%
67%
|
50 | 33 | 17 | -2 |
| 17 May. 2023 |
VIF
4 - 2
ROP
27%
23%
49%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | -2 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
FCV
1 - 2
ROP
11%
20%
69%
|
51 | 34 | 17 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
ROP
3 - 0
TP4
75%
16%
9%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | 0 |