JS Hercules vs JBK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.2%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.6%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.1%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
57.5%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.5%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
3º
8º
7º
36
1º
10º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
42 | 43 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
36 | 39 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 34 |
3º
|
58% | |
|
4º
|
30 | 31 |
4º
|
44.5% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 30 |
5º
|
71% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
17 | 18 |
7º
|
85.5% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 16 |
8º
|
85.5% | |
|
9º
|
10 | 10 |
9º
|
65.5% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 8 |
10º
|
65.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
JS Hercules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2024 |
NAR
3 - 1
HER
72%
16%
13%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
JPS
3 - 1
HER
52%
21%
28%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
HER
1 - 2
OTP
41%
23%
36%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2024 |
KUO
1 - 2
HER
72%
16%
13%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | +2 |
| 24 May. 2024 |
OPS
3 - 0
HER
74%
15%
11%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
JBK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2024 |
JBK
4 - 1
KUO
47%
23%
30%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
PEP
1 - 0
JBK
57%
21%
22%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
OPS
0 - 1
JBK
46%
22%
32%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
JBK
3 - 0
OTP
56%
21%
23%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
JPS
0 - 1
JBK
27%
21%
52%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | +1 |