JS Hercules vs Vaajakoski analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.5%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
50.5%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
5º
12º
11º
45
2º
7º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
45 | 45 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 39 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 37 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 34 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 33 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 31 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 28 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 19 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
12 | 12 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
JS Hercules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
TP4
4 - 1
HER
70%
17%
13%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
HER
0 - 2
AKA
35%
22%
44%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | -2 |
| 27 Jul. 2023 |
OTP
3 - 1
HER
54%
20%
26%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
VIF
2 - 0
HER
63%
19%
18%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
HER
2 - 3
OLS
39%
24%
37%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Vaajakoski
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
FCV
1 - 0
NAR
53%
22%
26%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2023 |
FCV
5 - 1
GBK
46%
22%
32%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
ROP
1 - 4
FCV
68%
19%
13%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | +2 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
TP4
0 - 1
FCV
56%
21%
23%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
FCV
1 - 1
AKA
42%
22%
36%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |