Joy vs Lioli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.4%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
25.9%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Joy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
BAN
9 - 0
JOY
47%
26%
28%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
JOY
0 - 1
LDF
43%
26%
31%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
LCS
1 - 0
JOY
47%
26%
28%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
LDF
1 - 0
JOY
48%
25%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
JOY
0 - 0
LMP
47%
26%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Lioli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
LIO
3 - 1
LIK
50%
27%
23%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
QOA
0 - 3
LIO
52%
25%
23%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
LIO
6 - 0
MPH
42%
26%
31%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
LIO
1 - 0
NYE
44%
26%
29%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
SAN
0 - 3
LIO
59%
22%
19%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |