Jong Utrecht vs NEC Nijmegen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.6%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.3%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.2%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
57%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jong Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2020 |
GAE
2 - 3
JUT
62%
22%
16%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2020 |
BVO
5 - 2
JUT
77%
16%
8%
|
52 | 71 | 19 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2020 |
JUT
0 - 2
NAC
19%
23%
57%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2020 |
JUT
1 - 2
ALK
57%
22%
22%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2020 |
VOL
0 - 1
JUT
68%
19%
13%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
NEC
6 - 0
EIN
61%
22%
17%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
GRA
2 - 0
NEC
53%
22%
25%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
NEC
0 - 1
ALM
51%
23%
26%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2020 |
VOL
1 - 3
NEC
39%
25%
37%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2020 |
NEC
2 - 1
JON
37%
24%
39%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |