Eerste Divisie round 18

Jong PSV vs Roda JC analysis

Jong PSV Roda JC
64 ELO 77
17.3% Tilt 21.8%
2364º General ELO ranking 765º
46º Country ELO ranking 26º
ELO win probability
22.9%
Jong PSV
23.4%
Draw
53.6%
Roda JC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.9%
Win probability
Jong PSV
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.4%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
53.6%
Win probability
Roda JC
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Jong PSV
-25%
-21%
Roda JC

Points and table prediction

Jong PSV
Their league position
Roda JC
CURR.POS.
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
19º
19º
49
20º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
FC Volendam
82
82
100%
Excelsior
74
74
100%
Cambuur
71
71
100%
ADO Den Haag
70
70
100%
Dordrecht
68
68
100%
De Graafschap
65
65
100%
SC Telstar
61
61
100%
Emmen
56
56
100%
Den Bosch
55
55
100%
Jong AZ
10º
52
52
10º
100%
FC Eindhoven
11º
51
51
11º
100%
Roda JC
12º
49
49
12º
100%
Helmond Sport
13º
46
46
13º
100%
Vitesse
20º
5
44
14º
100%
VVV Venlo
14º
41
41
15º
100%
MVV Maastricht
15º
40
40
16º
100%
TOP Oss
16º
38
38
17º
100%
Jong Ajax
17º
36
36
18º
100%
Jong PSV
18º
30
30
19º
100%
Jong Utrecht
19º
23
23
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Jong PSV
Roda JC
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%

ELO progression

Jong PSV
Roda JC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Jong PSV
Jong PSV
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Nov. 2024
EIN
FC Eindhoven
1 - 0
Jong PSV
PSV
40%
25%
35%
65 67 2 0
25 Nov. 2024
PSV
Jong PSV
2 - 1
Jong AZ
ALK
35%
24%
41%
64 70 6 +1
22 Nov. 2024
PSV
Jong PSV
1 - 4
FC Volendam
VOL
28%
24%
49%
65 73 8 -1
08 Nov. 2024
BVO
Cambuur
1 - 0
Jong PSV
PSV
61%
21%
19%
66 74 8 -1
04 Nov. 2024
PSV
Jong PSV
2 - 3
Emmen
FCE
28%
24%
48%
66 75 9 0

Matches

Roda JC
Roda JC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Nov. 2024
RJC
Roda JC
1 - 1
FC Volendam
VOL
45%
25%
30%
77 74 3 0
26 Nov. 2024
RJC
Roda JC
3 - 0
Vitesse
VIT
46%
25%
29%
76 74 2 +1
22 Nov. 2024
JUT
Jong Utrecht
1 - 3
Roda JC
RJC
10%
19%
72%
76 53 23 0
09 Nov. 2024
RJC
Roda JC
1 - 0
SC Telstar
TEL
59%
23%
18%
76 69 7 0
02 Nov. 2024
BOS
Den Bosch
1 - 1
Roda JC
RJC
26%
24%
50%
76 67 9 0