Jong Lede vs Wingene analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.4%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.7%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
36.8%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+62%
Points and table prediction
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
62 | 62 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 55 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
9º
|
33% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
33% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
33% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
26 | 26 |
14º
|
50% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
50% | |
|
16º
|
11 | 11 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
| Champion | 0% | 0% |
| Promotion playoffs | 0% | 0% |
| Could qualify for next round | 0% | 100% |
| Mid-table | 100% | 0% |
| Relegation playoffs | 0% | 0% |
| Relegation | 0% | 0% |
ELO progression
JON
WIN
DIK
WET
EPP
TOE
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jong Lede
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO JON | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
JON
4 - 1
WET
46%
27%
27%
|
976 | 1037 | -61 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
AVA
1 - 1
JON
41%
28%
31%
|
976 | 796 | -180 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
JON
3 - 0
EEN
47%
27%
26%
|
975 | 882 | 93 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
SVE
3 - 0
JON
41%
28%
31%
|
976 | 803 | -173 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
JON
3 - 0
GRI
62%
21%
16%
|
975 | 244 | 731 | 0 |
Matches
Wingene
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO WIN | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
EPP
3 - 2
WIN
48%
27%
25%
|
870 | 911 | 41 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
WIN
2 - 1
EEN
47%
27%
26%
|
870 | 881 | -11 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
WIN
1 - 1
GRI
58%
22%
19%
|
870 | 243 | 627 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
MAR
0 - 6
WIN
48%
27%
25%
|
869 | 916 | 47 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
WIN
2 - 0
NIN
46%
27%
27%
|
868 | 929 | -61 | +1 |