Eerste Divisie round 22

Jong Ajax vs Jong PSV analysis

Jong Ajax Jong PSV
69 ELO 65
9.5% Tilt 32.6%
1888º General ELO ranking 2363º
42º Country ELO ranking 46º
ELO win probability
45.4%
Jong Ajax
24%
Draw
30.6%
Jong PSV

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.4%
Win probability
Jong Ajax
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
30.6%
Win probability
Jong PSV
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Jong Ajax
-12%
-25%
Jong PSV

Points and table prediction

Jong Ajax
Their league position
Jong PSV
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
18º
18º
30
19º
19º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
18º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
FC Volendam
82
82
100%
Excelsior
74
74
100%
Cambuur
71
71
100%
ADO Den Haag
70
70
100%
Dordrecht
68
68
100%
De Graafschap
65
65
100%
SC Telstar
61
61
100%
Emmen
56
56
100%
Den Bosch
55
55
100%
Jong AZ
10º
52
52
10º
100%
FC Eindhoven
11º
51
51
11º
100%
Roda JC
12º
49
49
12º
100%
Helmond Sport
13º
46
46
13º
100%
Vitesse
20º
5
44
14º
100%
VVV Venlo
14º
41
41
15º
100%
MVV Maastricht
15º
40
40
16º
100%
TOP Oss
16º
38
38
17º
100%
Jong Ajax
17º
36
36
18º
100%
Jong PSV
18º
30
30
19º
100%
Jong Utrecht
19º
23
23
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Jong Ajax
Jong PSV
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%

ELO progression

Jong Ajax
Jong PSV
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Jong Ajax
Jong Ajax
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Jan. 2025
ALK
Jong AZ
2 - 1
Jong Ajax
JON
47%
23%
31%
68 70 2 0
23 Dec. 2024
JON
Jong Ajax
3 - 1
Roda JC
RJC
24%
24%
52%
67 77 10 +1
13 Dec. 2024
FCO
TOP Oss
2 - 1
Jong Ajax
JON
23%
22%
55%
68 60 8 -1
09 Dec. 2024
JON
Jong Ajax
2 - 0
De Graafschap
GRA
21%
23%
56%
66 78 12 +2
29 Nov. 2024
EXC
Excelsior
2 - 0
Jong Ajax
JON
63%
20%
17%
67 77 10 -1

Matches

Jong PSV
Jong PSV
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Jan. 2025
TEL
SC Telstar
1 - 0
Jong PSV
PSV
46%
24%
31%
66 68 2 0
04 Jan. 2025
PSV
Jong PSV
2 - 1
Katwijk
KAT
45%
22%
33%
66 67 1 0
20 Dec. 2024
PSV
Jong PSV
6 - 4
Vitesse
VIT
27%
24%
49%
65 75 10 +1
13 Dec. 2024
BOS
Den Bosch
1 - 1
Jong PSV
PSV
45%
24%
31%
64 66 2 +1
09 Dec. 2024
PSV
Jong PSV
2 - 3
Roda JC
RJC
23%
23%
54%
65 77 12 -1