Jong Ajax vs De Graafschap analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.9%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
31.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jong Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2014 |
MVV
2 - 2
JON
36%
26%
39%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2014 |
JON
3 - 2
RKC
52%
24%
24%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2014 |
JON
4 - 0
VVV
41%
26%
33%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2014 |
ALM
1 - 1
JON
54%
23%
23%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2014 |
JON
1 - 1
NEC
23%
24%
53%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2014 |
GRA
2 - 4
TWE
25%
23%
52%
|
64 | 80 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2014 |
EIN
4 - 3
GRA
52%
24%
24%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
GRA
6 - 3
JON
67%
20%
14%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2014 |
PSV
3 - 1
GRA
39%
27%
34%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2014 |
GRA
1 - 2
RJC
38%
24%
38%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | -1 |