Joinville vs Pinheiros analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.7%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
25.4%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Joinville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 1985 |
PPE
2 - 1
JEC
63%
22%
15%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1985 |
JEC
1 - 0
BAN
43%
28%
30%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1985 |
DES
0 - 1
JEC
43%
28%
29%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1985 |
JEC
1 - 2
BRA
53%
25%
22%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1985 |
VIL
0 - 3
JEC
47%
26%
27%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Pinheiros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 1985 |
PIN
1 - 0
DES
65%
20%
15%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1985 |
PIN
2 - 2
BRA
57%
24%
20%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1985 |
PIN
1 - 1
BAN
48%
26%
26%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1985 |
PPE
2 - 1
PIN
66%
18%
16%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1985 |
VNG
3 - 2
PIN
41%
27%
31%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | -1 |