Joinville vs Marcílio Dias analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.2%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.7%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.2%
24.7%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Joinville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
JEC
3 - 0
RIO
59%
23%
18%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
CAX
0 - 0
JEC
53%
25%
22%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
JEC
0 - 0
ESP
49%
27%
25%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2021 |
ESP
0 - 1
JEC
42%
27%
31%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
JEC
2 - 0
CAX
34%
30%
36%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Marcílio Dias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
MAR
1 - 1
JUV
46%
28%
26%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
ESP
0 - 0
MAR
42%
28%
30%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
MAR
0 - 0
CAX
37%
30%
34%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Jul. 2021 |
CAX
2 - 0
MAR
53%
26%
21%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
MAR
2 - 1
ESP
43%
28%
29%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |