Joinville vs Marcílio Dias analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.4%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
27.7%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Joinville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2021 |
ECP
0 - 1
JEC
27%
24%
49%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
NOV
0 - 0
JEC
62%
23%
16%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
JEC
2 - 1
MAR
36%
29%
35%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
SLU
2 - 1
JEC
47%
27%
26%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
JEC
0 - 0
PEL
47%
26%
28%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Marcílio Dias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2021 |
MAR
2 - 0
ECP
52%
24%
25%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2021 |
MAR
1 - 2
BRU
27%
26%
48%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
ALT
5 - 1
MAR
30%
27%
44%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | -2 |
| 03 Jan. 2021 |
MAR
1 - 1
ALT
63%
23%
15%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2020 |
GOI
1 - 1
MAR
28%
27%
45%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |