Joinville vs Concórdia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.6%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
37.9%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Joinville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2021 |
SAN
0 - 0
JEC
30%
26%
45%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
MET
0 - 1
JEC
36%
26%
38%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2021 |
JEC
0 - 0
MAR
46%
26%
28%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2021 |
ECP
0 - 1
JEC
27%
24%
49%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
NOV
0 - 0
JEC
62%
23%
16%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Concórdia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2021 |
CAC
2 - 1
BRU
19%
21%
60%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
FFL
3 - 0
CAC
66%
19%
15%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2021 |
CAC
0 - 2
CHA
7%
15%
78%
|
48 | 75 | 27 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2020 |
CAC
2 - 1
TUB
48%
24%
28%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2020 |
TUB
0 - 2
CAC
41%
23%
37%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | +1 |