Joinville vs Concórdia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.4%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
32.9%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Joinville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2020 |
FFL
2 - 1
JEC
71%
19%
10%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
BRU
5 - 4
JEC
42%
26%
32%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2020 |
JEC
1 - 0
TUB
47%
26%
27%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 2019 |
JEC
1 - 0
FER
23%
30%
48%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2019 |
GRE
1 - 0
JEC
43%
26%
31%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Concórdia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2020 |
MAR
2 - 1
CAC
51%
23%
27%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
CAC
1 - 1
CHA
5%
11%
84%
|
46 | 72 | 26 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2020 |
CRI
2 - 1
CAC
64%
20%
16%
|
46 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
CAC
1 - 2
LIT
48%
24%
28%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2019 |
LIT
1 - 1
CAC
32%
23%
45%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |