Joinville vs Chapecoense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.6%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.8%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.2%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.2%
63.2%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
16.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
27%
0-2
13.9%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Joinville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
MAR
3 - 0
JEC
44%
27%
29%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2022 |
JEC
0 - 0
HER
52%
25%
23%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
CAM
1 - 0
JEC
41%
26%
33%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2022 |
JEC
1 - 3
CAC
53%
25%
23%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
FFL
0 - 0
JEC
68%
20%
12%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
CHA
1 - 3
BRU
52%
25%
23%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2022 |
ECP
2 - 0
CHA
6%
14%
81%
|
70 | 39 | 31 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
CHA
2 - 0
JUV
77%
16%
7%
|
70 | 47 | 23 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2022 |
AVA
0 - 1
CHA
52%
25%
23%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
CHA
1 - 0
BAR
79%
15%
6%
|
69 | 45 | 24 | +1 |