Joinville vs Brasília analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.7%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
17%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Joinville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 1985 |
JEC
1 - 0
PIN
49%
26%
25%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1985 |
PPE
2 - 1
JEC
63%
22%
15%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1985 |
JEC
1 - 0
BAN
43%
28%
30%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1985 |
DES
0 - 1
JEC
43%
28%
29%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1985 |
JEC
1 - 2
BRA
53%
25%
22%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Brasília
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 1985 |
ADL
5 - 3
BRA
68%
19%
13%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1985 |
VIL
0 - 2
BRA
57%
24%
19%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 1985 |
BRA
0 - 1
VNG
54%
25%
21%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1985 |
COR
0 - 1
BRA
51%
26%
23%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1985 |
BRA
1 - 1
UBE
48%
26%
27%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |