Joinville vs Brasil de Pelotas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.2%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
21.9%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Joinville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 1985 |
VIL
0 - 3
JEC
47%
26%
27%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1985 |
ADL
1 - 0
JEC
60%
23%
18%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 1985 |
JEC
2 - 0
UBE
51%
25%
23%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 1985 |
JEC
4 - 0
COR
63%
22%
16%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 1984 |
JEC
1 - 0
GRE
26%
28%
46%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Brasil de Pelotas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 1985 |
ADL
2 - 1
BRA
61%
22%
17%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1985 |
VIL
1 - 3
BRA
50%
25%
25%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1985 |
BRA
1 - 0
COR
61%
23%
16%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1985 |
BRA
1 - 1
UBE
51%
25%
24%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1984 |
POR
4 - 1
BRA
64%
22%
14%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |