Catarinense 1 Fase regular. Jor. 5

Joinville vs Barra FC analysis

Joinville Barra FC
50 ELO 44
-17.2% Tilt -20.5%
3308º General ELO ranking 3259º
104º Country ELO ranking 99º
ELO win probability
55.4%
Joinville
24.1%
Draw
20.5%
Barra FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.4%
Win probability
Joinville
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
20.5%
Win probability
Barra FC
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Joinville
+11%
+43%
Barra FC

ELO progression

Joinville
Barra FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Joinville
Joinville
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Jan. 2023
JEC
Joinville
0 - 1
Brusque
BRU
20%
24%
56%
50 62 12 0
21 Jan. 2023
FFL
Figueirense
1 - 1
Joinville
JEC
77%
16%
7%
50 64 14 0
19 Jan. 2023
JEC
Joinville
0 - 0
Marcílio Dias
MAR
52%
25%
23%
50 46 4 0
15 Jan. 2023
CAM
Camboriú FC
0 - 0
Joinville
JEC
59%
22%
19%
50 54 4 0
05 Mar. 2022
BAR
Barra FC
1 - 2
Joinville
JEC
33%
28%
39%
49 45 4 +1

Matches

Barra FC
Barra FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Jan. 2023
BAR
Barra FC
1 - 0
Atletico Catarinense
CAC
66%
20%
14%
44 28 16 0
22 Jan. 2023
CAC
Concórdia
0 - 0
Barra FC
BAR
56%
25%
20%
44 51 7 0
19 Jan. 2023
BAR
Barra FC
0 - 1
Criciúma
CRI
10%
21%
69%
44 69 25 0
15 Jan. 2023
BRU
Brusque
2 - 0
Barra FC
BAR
72%
19%
9%
44 61 17 0
05 Mar. 2022
BAR
Barra FC
1 - 2
Joinville
JEC
33%
28%
39%
45 49 4 -1
X