Joinville vs Bangu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.8%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
29.6%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Joinville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 1985 |
DES
0 - 1
JEC
43%
28%
29%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1985 |
JEC
1 - 2
BRA
53%
25%
22%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1985 |
VIL
0 - 3
JEC
47%
26%
27%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 1985 |
ADL
1 - 0
JEC
60%
23%
18%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 1985 |
JEC
2 - 0
UBE
51%
25%
23%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Bangu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 1985 |
PIN
1 - 1
BAN
48%
26%
26%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1985 |
BAN
4 - 1
DES
64%
21%
15%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 1985 |
UBE
1 - 2
BAN
46%
26%
27%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1985 |
COR
0 - 1
BAN
34%
28%
38%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1985 |
BAN
2 - 0
VNG
64%
21%
16%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | +1 |