Q. Europa League 1st Round Final
Global 4-3
JJK Jyväskylä vs Stabæk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.1%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.6%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
37.9%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
JJK Jyväskylä
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2012 |
VAA
2 - 0
JJK
38%
26%
36%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2012 |
JJK
0 - 1
HON
30%
26%
45%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2012 |
HAK
3 - 1
JJK
26%
24%
49%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 2012 |
JJK
0 - 3
HJK
33%
27%
40%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2012 |
JJK
1 - 5
KUO
54%
24%
22%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Stabæk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2012 |
BBS
2 - 1
STB
56%
23%
21%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2012 |
VIF
1 - 2
STB
56%
23%
21%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Jun. 2012 |
ASK
2 - 1
STB
19%
21%
60%
|
72 | 53 | 19 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2012 |
STB
4 - 1
LSK
51%
24%
24%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2012 |
VKG
1 - 0
STB
48%
26%
26%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | -1 |