JJ Urquiza vs Def. Unidos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.1%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.9%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
44.6%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
JJ Urquiza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2014 |
JJU
1 - 1
ITA
26%
28%
46%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2014 |
ITU
1 - 0
JJU
52%
26%
22%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2014 |
JJU
0 - 3
TAL
35%
28%
38%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
LAM
1 - 0
JJU
47%
27%
26%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
CAD
2 - 1
JJU
57%
24%
19%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Def. Unidos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2014 |
CAD
0 - 1
DOC
55%
24%
21%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
ITA
1 - 0
CAD
41%
27%
31%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2014 |
CAD
1 - 0
ITU
57%
24%
19%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2014 |
TAL
1 - 3
CAD
45%
26%
28%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
CAD
2 - 1
JJU
57%
24%
19%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | +1 |