Jiangxi Lushan vs Wuhan Three Towns analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.5%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.9%
1-0
2.2%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.1%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
13.6%
77.8%
Win probability
2.78
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.2%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
8%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.7%
1-4
5.6%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
16.7%
0-4
6.7%
1-5
3.1%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
10.5%
0-5
3.7%
1-6
1.4%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.4%
0-6
1.7%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.4%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.9%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jiangxi Lushan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2021 |
SCA
3 - 2
JIA
68%
20%
12%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2021 |
JIA
0 - 1
GUI
21%
24%
55%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2021 |
SJF
3 - 0
JIA
55%
26%
20%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | -2 |
| 02 Aug. 2021 |
JIA
0 - 4
WFC
17%
26%
56%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2021 |
JIA
0 - 5
SCA
30%
28%
42%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Wuhan Three Towns
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2021 |
SJF
0 - 1
WFC
24%
28%
48%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2021 |
WFC
3 - 1
SCA
51%
27%
22%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
WFC
2 - 2
NAN
57%
25%
19%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2021 |
JIA
0 - 4
WFC
17%
26%
56%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2021 |
WFC
5 - 1
SJF
59%
25%
16%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |