CSL Playoffs Campeonato. Final
Global 2-1
Jiangsu FC vs Guangzhou FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.9%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.4%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
47.8%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jiangsu FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2020 |
SHA
1 - 2
JIA
57%
21%
22%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2020 |
JIA
1 - 1
SHA
36%
25%
39%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
JIA
1 - 0
CHO
59%
22%
19%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2020 |
CHO
1 - 1
JIA
23%
25%
53%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
SHE
0 - 1
JIA
15%
21%
64%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Guangzhou FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2020 |
GUA
3 - 1
BEI
56%
22%
22%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2020 |
BEI
0 - 0
GUA
32%
23%
45%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2020 |
GUA
5 - 0
HEB
69%
19%
12%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2020 |
HEB
1 - 3
GUA
17%
21%
63%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
GUA
1 - 0
DAL
73%
17%
10%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | -1 |