Ji-Paraná vs Moto Clube RO analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.4%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
22.9%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ji-Paraná
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
PAR
2 - 1
ROL
48%
23%
30%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2012 |
ESP
2 - 1
PAR
61%
20%
19%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
PAR
2 - 4
GEN
55%
21%
24%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | -2 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
ARI
0 - 0
PAR
56%
21%
23%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2007 |
PIM
3 - 2
PAR
25%
23%
52%
|
27 | 14 | 13 | -2 |
Matches
Moto Clube RO
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2012 |
MOT
3 - 0
ESP
22%
22%
57%
|
18 | 34 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2012 |
ROL
1 - 4
MOT
68%
18%
14%
|
17 | 27 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2012 |
MOT
1 - 2
ARI
23%
22%
55%
|
17 | 32 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
GEN
0 - 1
MOT
65%
18%
17%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2011 |
MOT
1 - 3
VIL
23%
24%
53%
|
17 | 36 | 19 | 0 |