Jesus del Monte vs Fortuna Camargo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.5%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
19%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+53%
+31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jesus del Monte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
SAN
0 - 0
JDM
43%
24%
33%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
JDM
1 - 0
MER
71%
17%
13%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
ESP
0 - 2
JDM
18%
19%
63%
|
19 | 7 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
CAS
0 - 3
JDM
47%
23%
31%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | +3 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
JDM
1 - 2
RGA
25%
22%
53%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Fortuna Camargo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
FOC
1 - 3
REV
50%
20%
30%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
FOR
0 - 3
FOC
22%
20%
58%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | +2 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
FOC
6 - 2
VEL
61%
18%
21%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
CAL
2 - 2
FOC
80%
13%
7%
|
15 | 24 | 9 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
FOC
4 - 1
SJU
66%
17%
16%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | +2 |