Jesus del Monte vs Castro B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.1%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
40.4%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
8%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
5%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+91%
+215%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jesus del Monte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2019 |
RSC
4 - 2
JDM
64%
18%
18%
|
8 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
JDM
4 - 0
TCD
63%
19%
19%
|
7 | 5 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2019 |
SSD
2 - 0
JDM
86%
9%
4%
|
8 | 15 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
JDM
0 - 3
TES
25%
20%
55%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
RIO
0 - 5
JDM
38%
22%
40%
|
8 | 5 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Castro B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2019 |
CAS
4 - 0
TCD
73%
15%
13%
|
9 | 5 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
TES
2 - 1
CAS
73%
15%
12%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2019 |
CAS
4 - 0
ISD
62%
19%
20%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
COM
4 - 3
CAS
59%
20%
21%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
CAS
4 - 2
NMB
55%
20%
25%
|
9 | 8 | 1 | 0 |