Jesina vs Sambenedettese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.5%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.5%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
44.1%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jesina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
REC
1 - 1
JES
28%
26%
46%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
JES
4 - 1
CIT
65%
19%
16%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
FID
0 - 0
JES
43%
24%
33%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
JES
0 - 0
CIV
49%
24%
27%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
TER
1 - 1
JES
62%
21%
16%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
SSS
2 - 2
MAC
64%
20%
16%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
AST
3 - 2
SSS
27%
25%
49%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
SSS
4 - 0
OLY
57%
22%
21%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
RCA
2 - 0
SSS
21%
24%
56%
|
47 | 30 | 17 | -2 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
SSS
3 - 3
SAN
55%
23%
23%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |